6:18 a.m.: First things first: Cleaning up the final unresolved races from four hours ago:
- In District 1, former Sen. Scott Herndon has again unseated Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle, with 53.4% of the vote. The pendulum continues to shift. Herndon defeated Woodward in 2022 before Woodward defeated Herndon two years later.
- Also in District 1, Jane Sauter (no relation to the incumbent) also picks up a 53.4% majority to oust Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint.
- In Eastern Idaho’s District 30, Rep. Ben Fuhriman wins again in a House rematch. The Shelley Republican collected 54.3% of the vote and defeated former Rep. Julianne Young of Blackfoot. Two years ago, Fuhriman won by a mere four votes.
What do these results, and others, mean for the balance of power in the Legislature?
Too early to know for sure. The hardliners lost several mainstays: five members of the self-named Gang of Eight and first-term Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello. The mainstream wing lost a few as well: Woodward, Mark Sauter and Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston, unsuccessful in her bid to oust hardline Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow.
At a glance, it appeared to be a better night for moderates than hardliners. I’ll try to tease that out more in my analysis later today.
2:06 a.m.: Final update for the night.
A few new numbers in District 1, which have narrowed the margins, slightly.
Former Sen. Scott Herndon continues to lead Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle, with 52.5% of the vote.
Jane Sauter continues to lead Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint. Jane Sauter sits at 52.7% of the vote.
With final numbers now in legislative District 8, here’s one final listing of incumbents who are trailing, or have lost.
- Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle.
- Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint.
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston (FINAL). She lost to Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow.
- Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall. (FINAL).
- Rep. Lucas Cayler, R-Caldwell (FINAL).
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield (FINAL).
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello (FINAL).
Thompson, Cayler, Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.” Another Gang of Eight member, Sen. Christy Zito, R-Hammett, had trailed in early returns but won her race in District 8.
So that’s a wrap for tonight. I’ll be back here at about 6 a.m. to clean up the final numbers. And I’ll have a full analysis piece later Wednesday.
1:32 a.m.: We can call another key race and check in on one still in progress.
In District 6, Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, has held his spot in the Senate, turning back a challenge from Rep. Lori McCann. Foreman wins with 52.7% of the vote.
In Eastern Idaho’s District 30, Rep. Ben Fuhriman, R-Shelley, is leading in his rematch with former Rep. Julianne Young of Blackfoot. Fuhriman is sitting at 53.6% of the vote. Bingham County’s vote tally isn’t final, so we can’t call this one yet.
Fuhriman ousted Young by just four votes in the 2024 GOP primary.
1:08 a.m.: Here’s our updated list of incumbent legislators who are trailing, or have lost.
- Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle. Former Sen. Scott Herndon is leading with 53.7% of the vote.
- Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint. Challenger Jane Sauter is sitting at 53.9% of the vote.
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston. She is challenging Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, who has 52.4% of the vote.
- Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall.
- Rep. Lucas Cayler, R-Caldwell (FINAL).
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield (FINAL).
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello (FINAL). In one of the closest races of the night, challenger Jennifer Miles ousted Burgoyne by just 40 votes.
Thompson, Cayler, Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.” Another Gang of Eight member, Sen. Christy Zito, R-Hammett, had trailed in early returns but now leads in her race in District 8.
The field is starting to narrow, and there aren’t as many races to watch closely. Herndon and Jane Sauter are starting to pull away in the two possible District 1 upsets. McCann has closed the gap on Foreman, but Foreman is still holding steady at 52.4%.
12:50 a.m.: In District 1, former Sen. Scott Herndon has extended his lead over Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle. Jane Sauter has also extended her edge over Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint. Herndon now is at 53.7% and Jane Sauter is at 53.9%.
We’re still waiting on most results from Boundary County, which are starting to come in. Two years ago, Woodward narrowly defeated Herndon in Boundary County, and Mark Sauter won the county handily. But both incumbents have considerable ground to make up.
12:40 a.m.: It’s a final in the high-priced District 28 Senate showdown. Incumbent Sen. Jim Guthrie, R-McCammon, survived a hardline challenge from David Worley, winning with 53.3% of the vote.
It is hard to overstate how much this single race divided state leaders. Gov. Brad Little, Lt. Gov. Scott Bedke, state superintendent Debbie Critchfield, Secretary of State Phil McGrane and Controller Brandon Woolf all endorsed Guthrie. Attorney General Raúl Labrador endorsed Worley.
Worley also received close to $16,000 from a political action committee founded by Rep. Jordan Redman, R-Coeur d’Alene.
None of this is likely to be forgotten any time soon.
12:19 a.m.: Here’s our updated list of incumbent legislators who are trailing, or have lost.
- Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle (new to the list). Former Sen. Scott Herndon is now leading by 33 votes.
- Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint (new to the list).
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston. She is challenging Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, who has 52.4% of the vote. This margin is gradually narrowing.
- Sen. Christy Zito, R-Hammett. Former Rep. Megan Blanksma, also of Hammett, has an 86-vote lead at this point. No vote tallies in from Elmore County, however.
- Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall.
- Rep. Lucas Cayler, R-Caldwell.
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield (FINAL).
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls (FINAL).
- Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello (FINAL). In one of the closest races of the night, challenger Jennifer Miles ousted Burgoyne by just 40 votes.
Zito, Thompson, Cayler, Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.”
11:59 p.m.: Rep. Steve Miller — a 10-year House member, and vice chair of the Joint Finance-Appropriations Committee — was ousted in a three-person race in the Magic Valley.
Chance Requa, a Magic Valley farmer, educator and coach, captured 38.7% of the vote to take the GOP primary.
The upset took place in legislative District 24, an interesting district with an intriguing vote breakdown.
Miller, R-Fairfield, easily carried his sparsely populated home turf of Camas County. Miller also carried Gooding County. But the preponderance of the vote sits in Twin Falls County, which Requa won handily.
11:41 p.m.: Big swing in District 1, Idaho’s northernmost county.
Former Sen. Scott Herndon of Sagle now leads Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle, but by only 33 votes.
Jane Sauter has pulled ahead of Rep. Mark Sauter, R-Sandpoint, by about 150 votes.
Very incomplete numbers. All from Bonner County, and nothing yet from Boundary County. But two major pickups for the GOP hardline caucus, if these results hold.
11:25 p.m.: Here’s our updated list of incumbent legislators who are trailing.
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston. She is challenging Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, who is still sitting with 56.9% of the vote.
- Sen. Christy Zito, R-Hammett (new to the list).
- Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall (new to the list).
- Rep. Lucas Cayler, R-Caldwell.
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield (back on the list).
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls.
Zito, Thompson, Cayler, Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.”
11:16 p.m.: The race between Rep. Elaine Price, R-Coeur d’Alene and challenger Christa Hazel is a proxy battle between the two distinct and dueling wings of the Kootenai County GOP.
So far, this one is going the way of Brent Regan and the Kootenai County Republican Central Committee, with Price holding 53.7% of the vote.
10:53 p.m.: We’re starting to get our first GOP primary numbers from legislative District 8 — another battleground for members of the Gang of Eight.
In the Senate race, former House Majority Leader Megan Blanksma of Hammett is leading with 37.4% of the vote — ahead of incumbent Sen. Christy Zito of Hammett, a Gang of Eight member. Zito is sitting at 31.5%, and former Rep. Terry Gestrin is third at 31.0%.
In House Seat B, Brian Beckley has 62% of the early vote, over Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall.
All of these votes are from Valley County. District 8 is a geographic behemoth, which also takes in Boise, Custer and Elmore counties.
10:40 p.m.: Here’s our updated list of incumbent legislators who are trailing.
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston. Well, technically. She is challenging Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, who is still sitting with 58.2% of the vote. (No updates in the race for a long time, though.)
- Rep. Lucas Cayler, R-Caldwell (new to the list).
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls.
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls.
Off the list (at least for now): Rep. Kyle Harris, R-Lewiston; Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield; Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello (now leading challenger Jennifer Miles by five votes); Rep. Barbara Ehardt, R-Idaho Falls.
Cayler, Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.”
10:24 p.m.: Checking back in on the gubernatorial primaries, and nothing has appreciably changed.
Two-term Gov. Brad Little is sitting with a comfortable 59.4% of the vote, winning handily in the eight-way GOP primary. Old State Saloon owner Mark Fitzpatrick of Eagle has closed the gap a bit, but remains a distant second at 26.7%.
Boise attorney Terri Pickens is rolling in the Democratic primary, sitting at 64.8% of the vote in a four-way race.
The closest gubernatorial primary is for the Libertarian Party nomination (yes, there is a Libertarian primary). Paul Sand holds 53.6% of the vote over Melissa Sue Robinson.
10:13 p.m.: Looking at the three of the high-profile Senate primaries, it is so far a sweep for the status quo:
- In District 1, Sen. Jim Woodward, R-Sagle, is holding 58.2% of the vote over former state Sen. Scott Herndon.
- In District 6, Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, is also at 58.2%, over Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston.
- In District 28, Sen. Jim Guthrie, R-McCammon has extended his lead over challenger David Worley. Guthrie now sits at 53.3%.
- Too early to call these races. Or to determine whether it’s going to be a good night for Senate moderates like Woodward and Guthrie, or hardliners like Foreman.
9:59 p.m.: It’s so early that we have only partial results in some races — and no results at all in many races. But here’s the first list of incumbent legislators who are trailing.
- Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston. Well, technically. She is challenging Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, who is now sitting with 58.2% of the vote.
- Rep. Kyle Harris, R-Lewiston, is trailing by a narrow three-vote margin.
- Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. Steve Miller, R-Fairfield.
- Sen. Josh Kohl, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. David Leavitt, R-Twin Falls.
- Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello.
- Rep. Barbara Ehardt, R-Idaho Falls.
Ehardt is a big name, a prominent social conservative and a House Education Committee member. Zuiderveld, Kohl and Leavitt are all members of the hardline conservative “Gang of Eight.” Miller is vice chair of the Joint Finance-Appropriations Committee. Lot to watch as we go tonight.
9:38 p.m.: So far, it’s looking like an early night in the gubernatorial races.
Two-term Gov. Brad Little is sitting with a comfortable 61.7% of the early vote, winning handily in the GOP primary. Old State Saloon owner Mark Fitzpatrick of Eagle is a distant second at 21.2%.
Boise attorney Terri Pickens is rolling in the Democratic primary, sitting at 67.8% of the early vote in a four-way race.
9:21 p.m.: One of the best features on the voteidaho.gov page is the close race roundup. I’ll spend a lot of time there tonight.
The close legislative races, so far, with the early returns.
- District 1 House Seat A, GOP: Incumbent Rep. Cornel Rasor, R-Sagle, holds a 35-vote lead over challenger Chuck Lowman.
- District 6 Senate: Incumbent Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, holds a four-vote lead over Rep. Lori McCann, R-Lewiston.
- District 6 House Seat A, Dems: Trish Carter-Goodheart has a three-vote lead over Bruce Blankenship.
- District 28 Senate, GOP: In the spendiest legislative race of the night, Sen. Jim Guthrie, R-McCammon, holds an eight-vote edge over David Worley.
- District 28 House Seat A, GOP: Rep. Rick Cheatum, R-Pocatello, leads a tight three-person race. James Floyd Lamborn trails by 31 votes.
- District 29 House Seat B, GOP: Challenger Jennifer Miles holds a seven-vote lead over Rep. Tanya Burgoyne, R-Pocatello.
9:03 p.m.: Well, now, happy Election Night. Polls have now closed (or are closing) in North Idaho. We should start seeing numbers soon. But the first vote tallies tend to be early and absentee votes, so they’re not always a representative sample of the overall vote.
We’ll start talking about numbers when we see them. But keep in mind it’s a long process.
Happy Election Day, and welcome to my live blog.
I’ll be updating here throughout the evening (and past midnight, depending on how quickly or slowly the results roll in). I’ll crunch a few numbers, try to spot some trends, and offer up some instant analysis.
We won’t see the first results until 9 p.m. MDT/8 p.m. PDT, when polls close in the Panhandle. While we wait, here are some GOP legislative primaries I’m interested in:
- The costliest Statehouse race of them all — the District 28 showdown between Senate State Affairs Committee Chairman Jim Guthrie of McCammon and David Worley.
- From the Panhandle, the fourth faceoff between sitting District 1 Sen. Jim Woodward and former Sen. Scott Herndon, both of Sagle. Like the Guthrie-Worley race 500 miles away, Woodward-Herndon IV is a pivotal battle between a sitting Senate moderate and a well-funded hardline challenger.
- The District 6 Senate race between incumbent Dan Foreman of Moscow and Rep. Lori McCann of Lewiston. Foreman was a central figure in the end-of-session showdown over a law banning taxpayer support of teachers’ unions. Foreman opposed the law, as did McCann. But McCann is running from the center, and with the Idaho Education Association’s endorsement.
- The District 30 House rematch between Rep. Ben Fuhriman of Shelley and former Rep. Julianne Young of Blackfoot. Fuhriman ousted Young two years ago, by a scant four votes. (Click here for more about Fuhriman, and a late-session email dustup over a new special education law.)
- All of the primaries involving the self-named “Gang of Eight,” a cadre of legislative fiscal hardliners, including House Education Committee members Clint Hostetler of Twin Falls and Kent Marmon of Caldwell, Senate Education Committee member Christy Zito of Hammett, and Joint Finance-Appropriations Committee member Glenneda Zuiderveld of Twin Falls.
That’s a long list, but I’m not sure it’s exhaustive. As I’ve been saying repeatedly around our newsroom — probably more often than my colleagues want or need to hear — something unexpected is almost sure to happen tonight. Some race will come from out of nowhere and land on our radar.
Keep this in mind: In 2004, 15 Republican incumbents lost in legislative primaries. In 2002, 20 incumbents lost. These are low-turnout and high-turbulence elections.
There won’t be much action in statewide races tonight — several Republican incumbents are unopposed today. But I’ll keep an eye on Gov. Brad Little’s primary, as he faces a field of seven challengers.
And with $183 million on the line, I’ll also watch tonight’s school levy and bond issue results.
That should be plenty for one night.
